(ORDO NEWS) — The second wave of coronavirus in the UK, if any, may be heavier than the first. A new increase in incidence may occur between September 2020 and June 2021, according to a study by the British Academy of Medical Sciences. The work of scientists drew the attention of Bloomberg.
According to researchers, during the second wave in the UK 120 thousand people can die.
The paper notes that starting in September, the average number of people who are infected by one patient with COVID-19 may increase to 1.7, which will lead to a peak in hospitalization and mortality in January and February 2021. And this is not a forecast, but a “reasonable worst-case scenario” and it requires intensive preparation, the authors point out.
Scientists have proposed expanding testing programs and more effectively monitoring those who are already infected. According to experts, hospitals and nursing homes should be provided with personal protective equipment in advance. The Academy of Medical Sciences also considers vaccination of the population against influenza important. It can help prevent overloading hospitals for patients with the flu during the cold season.
According to the latest data from Johns Hopkins University on July 14, in the UK during the pandemic, 291 thousand cases of COVID-19 were recorded. Almost 45 thousand people died.
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