Assad will end in June

US, WASHINGTON (ORDO NEWS) — Former intelligence chief of the Turkish Armed Forces General Staff Ismail Hakkı Pekin (İsmail Hakkı Pekin) suggested that in June the power of Bashar al-Assad, who killed and deprived thousands of people in Syria, is likely to come to an end.

In an article for The Independent in Turkish under the heading “At the corona front, no change!” Everything goes according to plan?” Beijing noted that after the crisis associated with coronavirus, important events will occur in the region.

Below is a snippet of a Beijing article.

“At the end of the crisis, many governments and leaders seem to be replaced. I can say that the reign of Bashar al-Assad, most likely, will come to an end around June.

From here we can understand that Syria will either be divided or become a federation or confederation with a very weak central government.

It is very important that the region west of the Euphrates, including Idlib and Aleppo, called the Republic of Aleppo, be controlled by Turkish-controlled forces.

We need to achieve this for the future of Turkey. It is obvious that Syria will be divided one way or another.

Another important issue is the autonomous Kurdish region or an independent Kurdish state or the Arab-Kurdish federation east of the Euphrates.

This issue is on the agenda of both the United States and Russia. And, of course, Israel. Turkey may not be easy here.

It is possible to create a combination of forces that will ensure a balance between east and west of the Euphrates. Are our options ready in this regard?

Of course, we must have the strength to implement each option. Along with military power, I mean alliances, economic potential, scientific technology, political influence, geopolitics and other factors.

Can we maintain strength during and after the epidemic to achieve our strategic goals?

Or what strength will our counterparts have, how much will this correspond to our assessments of the situation and strategic forecasts?

Do we need allies? Which countries can be our possible allies in line with changing geopolitics?

The United States these days, in order to protect itself from possible missile attacks, evacuate some of its bases in Iraq and transfer its forces to the base of Ain al-Assad in the province of Anbar.

At this base and the base in Erbil, the United States planned to deploy the Patriot and Vulcan-Phalanx air defense and missile defense systems to provide protection against missiles, mortar shells, drones, and aircraft.

As I mentioned earlier, the US is deploying the F-15 and F-35 at a base in Jordan near the Syrian-Jordanian border and is preparing for counter-operations or a preemptive strike against Iran.

It is noteworthy that the bases that the United States leaves to Iraqi forces are located in disputed regions such as Mosul, Kirkuk and so on. These regions also have views of the Kurdish Regional Administration in northern Iraq and the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) / Self-Defense Units (YPG) / Democratic Union Party (PYD).

The goal of creating an Arab Sunni state in the region west of Baghdad towards the Syrian border, including similar regions, and dividing Iraq into three parts remains.

Realization of this goal will cause a confrontation between the Sunni Arabs, the central Iraqi government, the Kurdish administration, the PKK / YPG and light up the wick of a new conflict.

Can we maintain the power to intervene in all this? What policies and strategies will we pursue?”


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