Goldman Sachs experts: oil prices tend to decline more sharply
US, WASHINGTON (ORDO NEWS) — Goldman Sachs oil prices may continue to decline due to declining demand in light of the Corona virus crisis, which is exacerbated by a struggle for market shares between two major producers while the storage capacity in the world is running out, sector experts said in interviews published by Goldman Sachs.
In a note dated March 31, the bank said the decline could give way to a “more robust global industry”, with a recovery in the shadow of production cuts.
Oil expert and Pulitzer Prize-winning writer Daniel Yergin told Goldman Sachs that demand could drop 20 million barrels per day in April, or even more, citing “the biggest decline in demand in the modern era”, while Saudi Arabia and Russia are locked in a price war.
Oil prices are currently moving in a range between $ 20 and $ 29 after falling in March after the collapse of an agreement to curb supplies between the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia and other producers, in the framework of what is known as OPEC +.
Gary Ross, founder of the Bayerah Energy Group, said the time it takes to get rid of the current surplus and how long prices remain low depends more on the developments of the Coruna virus epidemic.
“If efforts to control the epidemic are successful in the next three to four months, and we start to see a recovery in the summer, we may see a significant increase in demand growth in 2021,” Ross added.
But Jeff Corrie, head of global commodities research at Goldman, reiterated the bank’s view that Brent will likely remain near $ 20 a barrel because it is easier for crude producers to store in water than standard U.S. WTI producers, who will face severe price pressure.
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