(ORDO NEWS) — The mean sea level could rise half a meter (1.6 feet) by 2050, two meters (6.6 feet) by 2100 and five meters (16.4 feet) by 2150 if emissions of gases that cause global warming will continue to increase over the course of a century, according to a new study on the impact of melting polar ice caps.
This is much higher than UN experts have predicted so far, Pam Pearson, founder and director of the International Cryosphere Climate Initiative (ICCI), said at an open meeting of the Climate Preparedness Office of the Environment Ministry in Tel Aviv.
Last year, the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicted that by 2100, global mean sea levels are likely to rise by half a meter to a meter in two centuries, depending on various emission scenarios.
But ICRC has now added a new forecast, the fruit of research since last year, in which scientists have been able to combine known sea levels from Earth’s history with observations of glacier melt in recent decades, as well as projections for the future under various emission and temperature rise scenarios.
Noga Kronfeld-Shor, Chief Scientist at the Ministry of the Environment, will soon provide government authorities with new data to help with long-term planning.
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