Will Trump make it to January 20?

US, WASHINGTON (ORDO NEWS) — US President Donald Trump, Republican, was recognized as the most admired man. In a Gallup poll, he pushed aside his predecessor Barack Obama, who had held it for 12 years in a row, for the first time.

Less than a couple of weeks later, a completely different topic is being seriously discussed overseas: will Trump hold out in the White House before the inauguration of his successor, Democrat Joseph Biden, i.e. before January 20? Could an incumbent leader become the first ever US president to be twice impeached or removed from power on the basis of the 25th amendment to the country’s constitution?

The reason for the gossip is the tumultuous events of January 6-7 on Capitol Hill in Washington, where the US Congress was attacked by radical Trump supporters in summing up the final results of the November elections that brought victory to Biden. The meeting rooms and offices in the Capitol were temporarily overrun by the crowd. Legislators and staff of the apparatus had to be urgently evacuated.

One of the attackers was shot by guards, and a police officer later died of his wounds. A total of five people were killed in the riots; dozens, including over 50 police officers, were injured and injured. Since the congressional building was burned down over 200 years ago by the British Crown forces who invaded Washington, the citadel of American democracy has not experienced such a shock.

To crown all the troubles, it turned out that in the hall where the legislators were hiding for several hours, there was a man infected with covid with them …

Which question is more important?

Of course, against this background, the traditional question arises: “Who is to blame?” And the answer to it looks obvious: all arrows are transferred to Trump. In my opinion, this is natural, but I still think that the question itself is not the main one now for America and the Americans.

In my opinion, it is much more important for them to decide on another classic question: “What to do?” How to live further, how to overcome the split and confrontation, similar to the ideological and informational civil war?

Hanging all the dogs on the old leader is probably the easiest way. In any case, he leaves the scene: according to the definition of the political science portal RCP, Trump, by his actions, in fact, has already surrendered power to Biden, “two weeks ahead of schedule, he gave him the presidential mantle.” But what about those voters (and there are more than 74 million people) who voted for the Republican in the November elections? Indeed, many of them, like himself, continue to believe that their victory has been stolen from them.

“The disastrous whirlpool”

On January 6, some of these people gathered at the fence of the White House in Washington for a rally “For Saving America.” Trump, who came out to them, said: “We will never surrender, we will never admit defeat, we will stop this theft!” And he added: “We … will go to the Capitol “, because “weakness cannot return the country, we must show strength!” Earlier in the same place, his personal lawyer Rudolph Giuliani called for a trial by combat.

Trump himself, however, did not go to the attack, but returned to his residence. But thousands of activists did make their way to Congress, where their vanguard crushed unexpectedly weak police cordons and broke into the building. The Capitol Police Chief has now resigned.

Earlier, Trump called on his supporters in Congress and, above all, Vice President Michael Pence, who presides over the Senate, to reject, in his opinion, the “dishonest” election results in key states. But Pence warned in advance that this went beyond his “mostly ceremonial” powers, and did not prevent Biden from claiming victory.

Trump has not communicated with Pence since. But it’s not just the vice president. Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell said during the debate: “If the results of this election were overturned simply by unsubstantiated statements by the losing side, then our democracy would fall into a death spiral.”

“The whole country would never again recognize the election results,” the politician explained. “Every four years, there would be a fight for power at any cost.”

“A moment of great dishonor and shame”

In the political beau monde of the United States, the siege of the Capitol caused unanimous indignation. She was condemned in chorus by all the former presidents of the country, including Republican George W. Bush. “It is a disgusting and heartbreaking sight,” he wrote.

As for the Democrats, the oldest of them – Jimmy Carter – called the incident a “national tragedy” of the United States. Bill Clinton interpreted the “unprecedented attack on the Capitol, the constitution and the entire country” as a consequence of “more than four years of political poison spread”, i.e. lies. According to Obama, “history will rightfully remember” what happened as “a moment of great dishonor and shame for our country.”

Many other politicians spoke in a similar tone, including Trump’s party members. “There is nothing patriotic about what is happening on Capitol Hill,” said Florida Senator Marco Rubio. “This is anti-American anarchy, like in the third world.”

“A violent crowd attacked the Capitol in an attempt to prevent people from fulfilling their constitutional duty,” Rep. Liz Cheney said. “There is no doubt that the president formed this crowd, provoked this crowd and spoke in front of it. He lit the fuse.”

Demands of the Democrats

The current leaders of the democratic opposition, of course, were all the more not shy in expressions. Biden called the day of the attack on Congress “one of the darkest in the history of the country,” and said about the participants in this action: “Those weren’t protesters, don’t you dare call them that! It was a rebellious crowd. Rebels, internal terrorists!”

“Now we can add January 6, 2021 to the shortest list of dates in American history that will forever be covered in shame,” Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer told the president-elect. “This is the final, nightmarish and indelible legacy of the 45th President of the United States [Donald Trump] – undoubtedly our worst,” he added.

Schumer suggested that Pence and members of the current US government immediately take action to remove Trump from power on the basis of the 25th amendment to the constitution, which allows such a possibility (it was adopted after the assassination of John F. Kennedy and specified how and to whom the highest power in the United States could be transferred in if the head of state is unable to fulfill his duties). Otherwise, in the senator’s opinion, the congressmen “should meet again to impeach the president.”

A little later, the speaker of the lower house of Congress, Nancy Pelosi, who is the third person in the US state hierarchy, demanded the same. “Because he called for a riot yesterday,” she said of Trump on January 7, “he needs to be removed from power. Although there are only 13 days left, any of these days could turn into a nightmare for America.”

At the same time, Pelosi said that she spoke with the chairman of the Committee of the Chiefs of Staff of the US Armed Forces, General Mark Milley, about whether it is possible to limit the access of the “unbalanced president” to nuclear missiles. According to her, he assured her that all the necessary precautions were already in place. Earlier, all ten currently living ex-US defense ministers spoke in favor of ending the bickering over the election results and against any attempts to involve the military in these disputes.

Where is the “best way out”?

The press, and not only the liberal one, is also in favor of Trump’s early removal from power. If, say, nothing else was expected from the New York Times or the Washington Post, then the editorial in the Wall Street Journal delighted even such a notorious liberal as the former US ambassador to Moscow, Michael McFaul. The post, which he circulated on Twitter, was titled “Trump’s Last Days. The best solution would be his voluntary resignation to save the United States from another quarrel of impeachment.”

McFaul, incidentally, called January 6 “the worst day of American democracy in [his] life.” I asked him: isn’t this the dose of the same medicine that you prescribed to other countries, including Ukraine? He didn’t answer.

At the time of this writing, none of the proposed options for removing Trump from power seems realistic. He is clearly in no hurry to resign: according to the New York Times, he is more likely to give himself a kind of indulgence – a presidential pardon – before leaving the White House. Moreover, incitement to rebellion has now added to the list of charges on which he may face criminal prosecution after the loss of legal immunity.

True, theoretically, Trump could have resigned at the close of the curtain so that his legal successor, Pence, would write the same indulgence. But first he still needs to make peace with that, and in general, Pence clearly does not want to get involved in dubious games. In particular, according to the business publication Business Insider, he is against the use of the same 25th amendment to the constitution, which everyone considers the shortest path to the early removal of the current US president.

As for the new impeachment attempt, it may simply not have enough time – especially since in the Senate, the work schedule remains in the hands of Republican McConnell. Two newly minted Democratic senators from Georgia are still “out of the game”: the voting results there should be certified only by January 22nd. Anyway, observers believe that the required majority of votes for the condemnation of Trump in the Senate is now impossible to gain.

This is just the beginning”?

Trump himself now says that he is preparing for a “smooth” transfer of power, although he will not go to the inauguration. He finally admitted that “Congress approved the results” of the elections, and the time for “recovery and reconciliation” has come in America.

In retrospect, the president condemned the “violence, lawlessness and bacchanalia” committed during the “monstrous attack on the Capitol” and promised “retribution” to those “who broke the law.” But he considers them only “demonstrators,” and says of himself that he has always “fought in defense of American democracy” and “immediately dispatched the National Guard and federal security forces to defend the [Congress] building and expel intruders.” Previously, it was believed that Pence did it, and even then not immediately.

Addressing his “wonderful supporters,” Trump said, “I know you are disappointed, but I also want you to know that our incredible journey is just beginning.” He did not mention Biden.

Incidentally, a poll by YouGov hot on the trail showed that Republicans in the United States, albeit with a minimal majority (45% versus 43%), still supported the action on Capitol Hill. Democrats unanimously (96%) condemned her.

Trump Gagged?

The above quotes are from a video message shared by the White House host on January 8 via Twitter. Now it is no longer available there: on the same day, the social network permanently blocked Trump’s personal page, citing “the risk of further incitement to violence.” The company confirmed that it is blocking the head of state for the first time.

Trump regarded this step as a “ban on freedom of speech” – albeit by a private company, but based on the rule of law in the United States. He said that he was negotiating with “various other sites” and did not rule out “building our own platform in the near future.”

But even though he is convinced that he and his supporters will not be “silenced”, until he was in fact denied access to more than 88 million subscribers. In fact, they knocked out of their hands almost the main political weapon.

Pure politicking

In my personal opinion, everything described above is pure politicking, and on both sides. In words, people swear loyalty to values ​​and ideals, in fact they are looking for only their own momentary benefit.

This is very familiar to me: this is how, in my lifetime, the US has always waged propaganda disputes with Russia. They say, the truth is entirely on our side, and you just have to accept it. At the same time, Trump, as a nationalist, even at the very least, recognized for others the right to their own opinions and interests, but liberal globalists did not allow this either.

And in the current internal confrontation in the United States, they behave in the same way. There are a lot of examples of this, but here is one that, for obvious reasons, caught my eye: Nina Khrushcheva, the granddaughter of the former Soviet leader and now a Russian American, in a commentary for Project Syndicate proves that the attack on the Capitol was “as predictable as it was shocking.” because, they say, Trump smashed democracy for four years, and the Republicans connived at him. Also the biblical quote is woven: “He who disturbs his house will receive the wind for his inheritance.”

A plague on both your houses!

Attempts of a more or less objective view of the situation, if any, are isolated. For example, the American Jewish magazine Tablet recalled that over the past year, two Capitol Hills were seized in the United States. Last summer, “leftist rebels”, angry with the murder of African-American George Floyd, occupied the area of ​​the same name in Seattle for a month, looted and burned a police station there. And about the attack on the main Capitol, which is now on everyone’s lips, the publication writes that this is just “another entry in the catalog of American decline.”

Jonathan Turley, a law professor at the University of George Washington, called for at least hindsight to find out how well-founded the suspicions of electoral fraud were. “I hate federal commissions, but the Americans need such a commission to deal with the 2020 elections,” he said in USA Today. However, Spectator USA believes that the attack on the Capitol distracted attention from the original problem and, most likely, buried hopes of its clarification.

Former adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and now professor emeritus at Yale University, Koichi Hamada, in a column for Project Syndicate, pointed out that, for all the disagreements between Republicans and Democrats in the United States, they still “should proceed from a common understanding of reality.” Without this, in his opinion, it is impossible not only to formulate a compromise policy in good faith, but also to “protect democracy in the United States from pretenders to authoritarian rule.” The column is titled “How to Avoid Trump 2024”.

The root of all evil

Leaving such a formulation of the question on his conscience, I still think that the Japanese look at the root. I remember that Obama bitterly complained that his compatriots did not agree with each other even on what to consider as facts. Since then, the polarization in the information space has only intensified due to the growing role of social networks.

And the next escalation of confrontation in the United States only reinforces this trend. Judge for yourself: Conservatives grumble in unison that the participants in the siege of Congress are called in the liberal media not “protesters”, but only “gangsters”, “thugs”, etc. Remember Biden demanded to call them “terrorists”? With regard to the Black Life Matters (BLM) movement, this was not even close.

But, on the other hand, liberals also complain about “double standards”. The same Biden publicly resented: “If a group from BLM protested, they would have been treated completely, completely differently than the crowd of thugs that stormed the Capitol. We all know that this is so, and this is unacceptable.”

That is why I say that the Americans, who are going against each other wall to wall, need a common truth most of all. In the meantime, everyone has their own, they will only dream of peace.

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