China’s leading epidemiologist tells when to expect peak COVID-19 pandemic

US, WASHINGTON (ORDO NEWS) — Zhong Nanshan, a leading epidemiologist in China, believes that if the development of the epidemiological situation with coronavirus in the world continues at the same pace as it is now, then at least two weeks will be left until the turning point.

“If you want me to give a forecast when the world’s pandemic will come, then it’s much harder for me than the situation in China. Why? Because there are a lot of unforeseen factors in other countries. But if the situation develops according to the current scenario, I’m afraid it takes another two weeks, “said Zhong Nanshan in an interview with the People’s Daily.

He explained that, unlike what happened during the 1918 pandemic, government measures now play a very important role, if tough measures are taken, the epidemic will decline.

“For example, the north of Italy, the most severely affected region, but there are very small cities where there are very strict measures, people keep their distance, people wear masks, there are practically no infections, such a big difference within one country. Therefore, it’s very difficult to predict now,” – added the expert.

On December 31, 2019, the Chinese authorities informed the World Health Organization about an outbreak of unknown pneumonia in the city of Wuhan in the central part of the country ( Hubei Province ).

Specialists found that the causative agent of the disease was a new coronavirus, later the disease was officially named COVID-19. WHO on March 11 announced the pandemic of a new coronavirus in the world. On March 29, the State Health Committee of the PRC announced that the spread of the epidemic in the country as a whole had stopped.


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