(ORDO NEWS) — Contrary to the opinion of many, it is people who can attack aliens, and not vice versa. That’s according to science, technology and travel writer Jamie Carter.
Some scientists argue that human behavior towards other people and nature shows that we are a hostile species. Therefore, they believe that in the future, if extraterrestrial contact is possible, it is likely that humanity will attack first.
The author of the article, Jamie Carter, offers a point of view that almost no one has considered: the likelihood of humans attacking an extraterrestrial civilization is more than vice versa.
Should we send messages into space in an attempt to contact advanced extraterrestrial civilizations? Or maybe we should be afraid of attack?
These two questions often contradict each other, but more often than not, we miss something important. It is likely that we are “hostile aliens.”
To find out more about this version, Carter contacted Alberto Caballero, the author of an article on the topic. His work determines how many dangerous alien civilizations can exist and how likely they are to invade us.
The number is staggeringly small. Extrapolating from data on the history of invasions in the world over the last century, the military potential of the countries involved, and the global rate of growth in energy consumption… there is a 0.0014% chance that a technologically advanced civilization will invade Earth.
This figure is based on the fact that the more advanced a civilization is, the less likely it is to attack again. After all, energy consumption is the method used to separate civilizations on the Kardashev scale.
The Kardashev scale and why they won’t attack us
Type I: those that are able to use the main energy sources on their planet. Including the energy emanating from its star.
Type II civilizations are able to accumulate all the energy released by their star. Most likely with the help of Dyson spheres. Its energy consumption is 10 orders of magnitude higher than that of a Type I civilization.
And finally, a Type 3 civilization that is able to access and control most of the energy generated by the entire galaxy.
Wait. Why would technologically advanced type 1/2 civilizations that consume more energy be less likely to invade?
“Data over the last century show that the frequency of invasions between countries has been gradually decreasing over time,” says Caballero.
“Based on these data, a civilization like humanity would be more prone to invasion than a type 1 civilization, but they would not have the means to travel to an extraterrestrial planet.”
Caballero also believes that there have not yet been studies that estimate the prevalence of harmful civilizations or the likelihood of an extraterrestrial invasion, which is why he made his own attempt. “It was not possible to weigh the potential benefits and risks associated with sending a serious message,” he said.
Aliens won’t attack each other, at least not yet. So why is there a fear of trying to make contact (known as ET messaging or METI)?
“For the general public, the fear probably comes from all the decades of Hollywood films about alien invasions,” says Caballero. Only a very few films such as 2016’s Arrival have alien invaders behaving peacefully.
In other words… calm down, look up and think about what you would like to say to another intelligent civilization thousands of light years away.”
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